I took last week off of posting my picks cause I’m the busiest unemployed person of all time. Also, I was sick of putting losing bets on what should be “Clean” Smoke.

But I’ve turned over a new leaf as they continue to fall in mid-autumn. This week I made a detailed spreadsheet for every single power 5 team to track their progress home vs away, against the spread, and with the over/under. I have numbers backing me up now, let’s cook and make some Clean Smoke.

Bets

Favorite

Wisconsin -3.5 @ Northwestern

Northwestern sneaked by Rutgers last week by 3. Not a good look.

Wisconsin has only been the favorite on the road 1 time this season (@ Iowa) and they covered. I see Wisco getting this done easy.

Underdogs

There are too many to stick with just one.

Purdue (+1) @ Michigan State

MSU has yet to cover at home, Purdue has yet to not cover on the road. Vegas won’t give the Boilermakers the respect the deserve (especially after that drubbing of Ohio State).

Texas Tech (+6) @ Iowa State

I know Iowa State is the biggest Bitch Team in the country. They pull upsets out of their ass. But now they’re favorites. It’s not their style. Texas Tech has covered in all of their away match-ups, I see them winning outright.

Washington State (+2.5) @ Stanford

Washington State has covered in 100% of their games. You read that right. It’s not gonna stop now. They’re on a mission and still trying to earn the respect they deserve.

Over

Purdue @ Michigan State (O/U 48)

I struggled to find an over I like this week. Purdue has scored over 40 points their last 3 games, and MSU has hit the over 3 out of their 4 home games. And 48 is a low number. None of these numbers lie.

Under

Texas @ Oklahoma State (O/U 62)

Oklahoma State just scored 12 points against Kansas State, Texas has only hit 1 over in their last 4 games, and that was when they gave up 45 points to Kyler Murray and Oklahoma. 62 is too big of a number, hit that under.

Big Games

18 Iowa @ 17 Penn State (-6)

Penn State has lost their last 2 home games. Probably hasn’t happened in a while. They “rebounded” last week with a narrow 5-point win over Indiana on the road. Iowa still has everything to play for, their only loss was to Wisconsin. I love the Hawkeyes to grind out a close, classic Big 10 slug-fest.

Iowa 17 Penn State 9

9 Florida vs 7 Georgia (-6.5)

Georgia is coming off a bye after a big loss at LSU. We’ll see what they’re made of this week as they face their long-time SEC East rival. Florida has only had one real test this year, they got past that same LSU team at home. I like the Gators, but I think the Dawgs will be fired up to continue their playoff campaign and get this done.

Georgia 27 Florida 13

14 Washington State @ 24 Stanford (-2.5)

Wazzu is coming off that convincing home win over Oregon and Stanford has lost all it’s luster after they lucked out at Oregon last month. I see the Cougars coming out and proving themselves as legitimate contenders in the PAC 12. Those nerds at Stanford will be content with being bowl-eligible.

Washington State 38 Stanford 17


I’ll have another betting blog on Two Buttons Deep coming tomorrow, week 9 may be a relatively boring week but you’ll have plenty of my losses to laugh at.

Just clearing the air.